Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 260.284803 293.820690 331.079767 375.733305 428.040702 487.670877 561.217645
2025-05-04 209.896521 253.749249 306.828417 376.557643 466.868979 581.454630 740.394133
2025-05-11 177.656412 224.226026 283.756842 366.814405 481.943033 639.349947 877.091607
2025-05-18 155.655056 203.130580 266.471400 359.201700 495.066245 692.813921 1014.229309
2025-05-25 144.724670 194.695767 264.035599 370.214901 534.214820 787.886547 1231.572211
2025-06-01 132.552486 182.790459 254.783084 369.231272 554.089005 855.466237 1418.002816
2025-06-08 120.920913 170.259517 242.918418 362.195362 562.498179 904.622662 1581.937087
2025-06-15 112.899320 162.159700 236.630289 362.758726 582.848225 976.717439 1804.888030
2025-06-22 104.065908 151.956403 225.954103 354.618824 586.591851 1018.818667 1977.283311
2025-06-29 97.765935 145.103418 219.850874 353.291634 601.987345 1085.020764 2217.639261
2025-07-06 89.622630 134.660004 206.951920 338.630393 590.392315 1095.486013 2333.533346
2025-07-13 87.446624 133.658297 209.559137 351.795026 633.846430 1226.884380 2778.836169
2025-07-20 85.493275 132.971199 212.808888 366.887348 684.336695 1386.034451 3358.488033
2025-07-27 81.376778 128.330186 208.779993 367.755407 705.652030 1484.079525 3808.766253
2025-08-03 76.127509 121.351704 199.983001 358.287697 703.197285 1524.705510 4103.175977
2025-08-10 71.660003 115.428524 192.621550 350.891987 704.264112 1574.409358 4447.193020
2025-08-17 70.006046 114.348515 194.064556 361.591173 748.336056 1745.569471 5282.116109
2025-08-24 66.984963 110.596198 190.166690 360.635677 764.666357 1845.543114 5909.596400
2025-08-31 63.495194 105.766333 183.840515 353.800500 765.608986 1902.234353 6397.540282
2025-09-07 61.130242 102.861451 181.025638 354.347824 785.208249 2018.889726 7202.989934
2025-09-14 58.000870 98.342765 174.709703 346.439128 781.816093 2064.431070 7718.694859
2025-09-21 55.798581 95.449467 171.439561 345.149523 795.870951 2169.492884 8587.482308
2025-09-28 52.414621 90.122562 162.909432 330.901306 772.768674 2146.798896 8795.991551